HR Leader Guide· a Bicycle Guide

Disposition

Prepare to Be Wrong / Optionality

Anticipating a range of futures rather than betting on one prediction; structuring affairs with asymmetric payoffs, buffers, and reversible bets to bound downside and retain upside.

Taught in these guides

Grounded in

Books cited by the guides that teach this. The ones cited by more than one are where the field agrees.

and 68 more

What this produces

Outcomes the same guides attribute to it. These are consequences, not things to practise.

  • Change Vision and Strategy
  • Cognitive Bias
  • Coherence, Fit & Integration of Choices
  • Constructive Conflict & Avoiding Groupthink
  • Cultural Anchoring / Reinforcement
  • Data-Driven & Evidence-Based People Decisions
  • Decision Quality
  • Decision Quality Under Uncertainty